Baseball Projection.com

Jose Veras

Age: 28 Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 2 61 55 6 26 60 3 28 26 3.84 57 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 45 49 25 42 7 4 5.60
20th 49 51 25 46 7 4 5.14
30th 53 52 25 51 6 3 4.42
40th 57 53 26 55 6 3 4.11
50th 61 55 26 60 6 3 3.84
60th 63 54 25 63 5 3 3.29
70th 64 54 25 65 5 2 3.23
80th 67 52 24 68 4 2 2.69
90th 69 51 22 72 3 1 2.35

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
8 0.8 3.9

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 61 53 27 63 6 3 3.67 1.1 0.6 2.7
2010 29 55 48 24 56 5 3 3.63 1.1 0.6 3.1
2011 30 49 44 22 50 5 2 3.82 1.0 0.4 2.0
2012 31 44 39 20 44 4 2 3.71 1.0 0.4 2.3
2013 32 40 36 18 39 4 2 3.85 1.0 0.3 1.8
2014 33 35 32 17 35 3 2 3.91 1.0 0.3 2.0

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.