Chris Vines
Age: 24
Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
4 |
58 |
64 |
11 |
28 |
38 |
2 |
38 |
35 |
5.43 |
13 |
13 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
42 |
59 |
27 |
24 |
13 |
3 |
8.57 |
| 20th |
46 |
60 |
27 |
28 |
12 |
3 |
7.43 |
| 30th |
50 |
61 |
27 |
32 |
12 |
2 |
6.66 |
| 40th |
54 |
62 |
28 |
35 |
11 |
2 |
6.00 |
| 50th |
58 |
64 |
28 |
38 |
11 |
2 |
5.43 |
| 60th |
60 |
63 |
27 |
40 |
10 |
2 |
4.95 |
| 70th |
62 |
62 |
26 |
43 |
9 |
1 |
4.50 |
| 80th |
64 |
60 |
25 |
45 |
8 |
1 |
4.08 |
| 90th |
68 |
57 |
23 |
49 |
6 |
0 |
3.04 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
57 |
66 |
28 |
35 |
11 |
2 |
5.83 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
25 |
51 |
59 |
25 |
32 |
10 |
2 |
5.86 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
26 |
46 |
53 |
22 |
28 |
9 |
2 |
5.81 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
27 |
42 |
48 |
19 |
26 |
8 |
1 |
5.59 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
28 |
38 |
44 |
17 |
23 |
8 |
1 |
5.80 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
29 |
34 |
40 |
15 |
20 |
7 |
1 |
5.85 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.