Baseball Projection.com

Jason Waddell

Age: 28 Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 44 46 6 25 40 2 27 25 5.11 40 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 32 41 24 27 7 3 7.59
20th 35 43 24 30 7 2 6.94
30th 38 44 24 34 7 2 6.16
40th 41 45 25 37 6 2 5.49
50th 44 46 25 40 6 2 5.11
60th 45 45 24 42 5 2 4.60
70th 46 45 24 44 5 2 4.50
80th 49 43 23 47 4 1 3.49
90th 51 42 21 50 3 1 3.18

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 43 47 25 38 7 2 5.59 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 29 39 42 22 34 6 2 5.41 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 30 35 38 20 30 5 1 5.33 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 31 32 34 19 27 5 1 5.38 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 32 28 31 17 24 4 1 5.56 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 33 25 28 16 21 4 1 5.86 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.