Baseball Projection.com

Cory Wade

Age: 26 Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 53 51 6 15 43 3 24 22 3.74 44 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 39 47 15 29 7 4 6.00
20th 42 47 15 33 7 4 5.36
30th 46 49 15 36 7 3 4.70
40th 49 50 15 40 6 3 4.22
50th 53 51 15 43 6 3 3.74
60th 54 50 14 45 5 3 3.50
70th 56 50 14 47 5 2 3.21
80th 58 48 13 50 4 2 2.79
90th 61 46 12 53 3 1 2.21

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 52 53 15 39 6 3 4.13 1.0 0.3 1.3
2010 27 47 48 13 35 5 2 4.01 1.0 0.3 1.4
2011 28 42 44 12 31 5 2 4.26 1.0 0.1 0.5
2012 29 38 39 10 28 4 2 4.02 1.0 0.2 1.1
2013 30 34 36 9 25 4 2 4.27 1.0 0.1 0.6
2014 31 31 31 9 22 3 2 3.94 1.0 0.2 1.3

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.