Tim Wakefield
Age: 42
Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 7 |
6 |
121 |
127 |
16 |
45 |
74 |
6 |
67 |
62 |
4.61 |
21 |
21 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
92 |
109 |
40 |
54 |
16 |
6 |
5.77 |
| 20th |
100 |
113 |
41 |
59 |
16 |
6 |
5.31 |
| 30th |
107 |
118 |
42 |
64 |
16 |
6 |
5.05 |
| 40th |
114 |
122 |
44 |
69 |
16 |
6 |
4.82 |
| 50th |
121 |
127 |
45 |
74 |
16 |
6 |
4.61 |
| 60th |
123 |
127 |
45 |
76 |
15 |
6 |
4.46 |
| 70th |
127 |
127 |
44 |
79 |
15 |
5 |
4.18 |
| 80th |
130 |
126 |
43 |
83 |
14 |
5 |
3.88 |
| 90th |
134 |
125 |
42 |
86 |
13 |
4 |
3.63 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 15 |
1.4 |
6.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
42 |
121 |
125 |
45 |
81 |
17 |
6 |
4.59 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
5.9 |
| 2010 |
43 |
109 |
113 |
41 |
70 |
15 |
6 |
4.62 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
5.5 |
| 2011 |
44 |
97 |
102 |
38 |
61 |
14 |
5 |
4.77 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
4.6 |
| 2012 |
45 |
87 |
93 |
35 |
53 |
13 |
5 |
4.94 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
3.3 |
| 2013 |
46 |
78 |
84 |
32 |
46 |
12 |
4 |
5.01 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
3.1 |
| 2014 |
47 |
70 |
76 |
29 |
40 |
11 |
4 |
5.11 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.