Joshua Wall
Age: 22
Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
7 |
84 |
97 |
17 |
55 |
49 |
5 |
65 |
60 |
6.43 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
60 |
88 |
52 |
31 |
19 |
7 |
9.90 |
| 20th |
66 |
89 |
53 |
36 |
18 |
6 |
8.59 |
| 30th |
72 |
92 |
53 |
40 |
18 |
6 |
7.75 |
| 40th |
78 |
94 |
54 |
45 |
17 |
5 |
6.92 |
| 50th |
84 |
97 |
55 |
49 |
17 |
5 |
6.43 |
| 60th |
87 |
96 |
54 |
52 |
16 |
4 |
5.90 |
| 70th |
90 |
94 |
53 |
55 |
15 |
4 |
5.40 |
| 80th |
94 |
92 |
50 |
59 |
13 |
3 |
4.69 |
| 90th |
98 |
88 |
48 |
63 |
10 |
2 |
3.95 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
22 |
83 |
99 |
55 |
45 |
16 |
5 |
6.62 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
23 |
75 |
90 |
48 |
41 |
15 |
5 |
6.66 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
24 |
68 |
80 |
43 |
38 |
13 |
4 |
6.43 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
25 |
61 |
72 |
38 |
35 |
12 |
4 |
6.48 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
26 |
55 |
66 |
33 |
31 |
11 |
3 |
6.50 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
27 |
50 |
60 |
29 |
28 |
10 |
3 |
6.46 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.