Baseball Projection.com

Les Walrond

Age: 32 Team: TOR

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
6	8	122	130	15	57	82	5	71	66	4.87	24	24

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	92	112	51	58	16	6	6.26
20th	100	116	52	65	15	5	5.67
30th	108	120	54	71	15	5	5.25
40th	115	126	55	76	15	5	5.09
50th	122	130	57	82	15	5	4.87
60th	125	130	56	85	14	5	4.61
70th	128	130	56	88	14	4	4.36
80th	132	129	55	92	13	4	4.02
90th	136	127	53	97	11	3	3.71

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

13 1.2 5.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 32 122 129 57 87 14 5 4.73 1.0 1.1 5.0

2010 33 110 116 52 77 12 4 4.67 1.0 1.1 5.1

2011 34 98 105 48 68 11 4 4.84 1.0 0.8 4.1

2012 35 88 95 44 59 10 4 4.93 1.0 0.6 3.3

2013 36 79 86 40 52 9 3 4.98 1.0 0.5 3.1

2014 37 71 77 37 46 8 3 5.00 1.0 0.5 3.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
13	1.2	5.7

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	32	122	129	57	87	14	5	4.73	1.0	1.1	5.0
2010	33	110	116	52	77	12	4	4.67	1.0	1.1	5.1
2011	34	98	105	48	68	11	4	4.84	1.0	0.8	4.1
2012	35	88	95	44	59	10	4	4.93	1.0	0.6	3.3
2013	36	79	86	40	52	9	3	4.98	1.0	0.5	3.1
2014	37	71	77	37	46	8	3	5.00	1.0	0.5	3.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.