Chien-Ming Wang
Age: 29
Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 8 |
6 |
133 |
154 |
8 |
42 |
71 |
5 |
70 |
65 |
4.4 |
22 |
22 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
102 |
132 |
38 |
50 |
9 |
6 |
5.47 |
| 20th |
110 |
137 |
39 |
56 |
9 |
5 |
5.07 |
| 30th |
118 |
142 |
40 |
61 |
8 |
5 |
4.73 |
| 40th |
126 |
148 |
41 |
66 |
8 |
5 |
4.50 |
| 50th |
133 |
154 |
42 |
71 |
8 |
5 |
4.40 |
| 60th |
137 |
154 |
41 |
74 |
7 |
5 |
4.14 |
| 70th |
140 |
154 |
41 |
77 |
7 |
4 |
3.92 |
| 80th |
144 |
153 |
40 |
80 |
6 |
4 |
3.63 |
| 90th |
148 |
152 |
38 |
84 |
5 |
3 |
3.41 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 22 |
2.1 |
9.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
29 |
134 |
150 |
43 |
75 |
8 |
5 |
4.20 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
9.2 |
| 2010 |
30 |
121 |
135 |
40 |
67 |
7 |
4 |
4.18 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
9.2 |
| 2011 |
31 |
108 |
122 |
36 |
59 |
6 |
4 |
4.25 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
8.6 |
| 2012 |
32 |
97 |
111 |
33 |
52 |
6 |
3 |
4.37 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
7.8 |
| 2013 |
33 |
87 |
99 |
31 |
46 |
5 |
3 |
4.37 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
7.4 |
| 2014 |
34 |
78 |
90 |
28 |
41 |
5 |
3 |
4.51 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
6.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.