Baseball Projection.com

Jeff Weaver

Age: 32 Team: LAN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
5	7	111	122	19	35	69	5	66	61	4.95	20	20

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	84	106	32	49	19	6	6.32
20th	91	110	33	54	19	5	5.84
30th	98	114	33	59	19	5	5.51
40th	104	118	34	64	19	5	5.19
50th	111	122	35	69	19	5	4.95
60th	114	121	34	72	18	5	4.58
70th	117	121	34	74	17	4	4.31
80th	120	119	33	78	16	4	4.05
90th	124	118	31	82	15	3	3.70

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

8 0.8 3.9

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 32 110 126 35 63 18 5 5.12 1.0 0.6 2.5

2010 33 99 113 32 56 16 4 5.09 1.0 0.5 2.3

2011 34 88 103 29 49 15 4 5.33 1.0 0.2 1.0

2012 35 80 92 27 43 13 3 5.17 1.0 0.4 2.2

2013 36 71 83 25 38 12 3 5.37 1.0 0.1 0.6

2014 37 64 75 23 33 11 3 5.44 1.0 0.1 0.7

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
8	0.8	3.9

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	32	110	126	35	63	18	5	5.12	1.0	0.6	2.5
2010	33	99	113	32	56	16	4	5.09	1.0	0.5	2.3
2011	34	88	103	29	49	15	4	5.33	1.0	0.2	1.0
2012	35	80	92	27	43	13	3	5.17	1.0	0.4	2.2
2013	36	71	83	25	38	12	3	5.37	1.0	0.1	0.6
2014	37	64	75	23	33	11	3	5.44	1.0	0.1	0.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.