Jered Weaver
Age: 26
Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 11 |
8 |
168 |
163 |
19 |
48 |
137 |
5 |
77 |
71 |
3.8 |
28 |
28 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
129 |
140 |
43 |
101 |
19 |
6 |
4.74 |
| 20th |
139 |
146 |
44 |
110 |
19 |
5 |
4.40 |
| 30th |
149 |
151 |
45 |
119 |
19 |
5 |
4.17 |
| 40th |
158 |
157 |
47 |
128 |
19 |
5 |
3.99 |
| 50th |
168 |
163 |
48 |
137 |
19 |
5 |
3.80 |
| 60th |
172 |
163 |
47 |
141 |
18 |
5 |
3.61 |
| 70th |
176 |
162 |
47 |
146 |
17 |
4 |
3.43 |
| 80th |
180 |
161 |
46 |
151 |
16 |
4 |
3.25 |
| 90th |
185 |
160 |
44 |
157 |
15 |
3 |
3.02 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 36 |
3.4 |
15.4 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
169 |
159 |
49 |
146 |
20 |
5 |
3.74 |
1.0 |
3.5 |
15.5 |
| 2010 |
27 |
152 |
143 |
43 |
130 |
18 |
5 |
3.73 |
1.0 |
3.1 |
15.2 |
| 2011 |
28 |
137 |
130 |
38 |
116 |
16 |
4 |
3.74 |
1.0 |
2.9 |
15.2 |
| 2012 |
29 |
123 |
117 |
34 |
103 |
14 |
4 |
3.73 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
15.1 |
| 2013 |
30 |
111 |
106 |
31 |
92 |
13 |
3 |
3.76 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
14.7 |
| 2014 |
31 |
99 |
96 |
28 |
81 |
12 |
3 |
3.88 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
13.5 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.