Brandon Webb
Age: 30
Team: ARI
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 13 |
10 |
209 |
216 |
13 |
61 |
166 |
8 |
93 |
86 |
3.7 |
31 |
31 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
162 |
183 |
54 |
124 |
14 |
8 |
4.44 |
| 20th |
173 |
191 |
56 |
134 |
13 |
8 |
4.21 |
| 30th |
186 |
199 |
57 |
145 |
13 |
8 |
3.97 |
| 40th |
197 |
207 |
59 |
156 |
13 |
8 |
3.84 |
| 50th |
209 |
216 |
61 |
166 |
13 |
8 |
3.70 |
| 60th |
214 |
216 |
61 |
171 |
12 |
8 |
3.53 |
| 70th |
218 |
218 |
60 |
176 |
12 |
7 |
3.43 |
| 80th |
224 |
217 |
59 |
182 |
11 |
6 |
3.21 |
| 90th |
229 |
216 |
57 |
189 |
10 |
6 |
3.03 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 51 |
4.9 |
22.0 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
30 |
211 |
211 |
60 |
159 |
12 |
8 |
3.49 |
1.0 |
5.0 |
21.8 |
| 2010 |
31 |
189 |
190 |
55 |
141 |
11 |
8 |
3.56 |
1.0 |
4.3 |
20.7 |
| 2011 |
32 |
170 |
172 |
50 |
125 |
10 |
7 |
3.59 |
1.0 |
3.8 |
20.3 |
| 2012 |
33 |
153 |
155 |
46 |
110 |
9 |
6 |
3.61 |
1.0 |
3.3 |
19.5 |
| 2013 |
34 |
137 |
140 |
42 |
97 |
8 |
6 |
3.68 |
1.0 |
2.9 |
19.0 |
| 2014 |
35 |
123 |
126 |
39 |
86 |
7 |
5 |
3.70 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
18.2 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.