Baseball Projection.com

Keith Weiser

Age: 24 Team: COL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
6	9	130	159	23	45	58	5	88	81	5.61	22	22

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	96	140	43	39	25	6	7.78
20th	105	144	43	44	24	6	6.94
30th	114	148	43	49	23	6	6.32
40th	122	154	44	53	23	5	5.98
50th	130	159	45	58	23	5	5.61
60th	134	158	44	61	22	4	5.31
70th	137	157	43	64	20	4	4.93
80th	142	155	41	68	19	3	4.50
90th	147	151	39	72	16	2	3.98

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

9 0.9 4.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 131 154 45 58 21 5 5.30 1.0 0.4 1.7

2010 25 118 139 39 52 19 5 5.29 1.0 0.4 1.8

2011 26 107 125 35 47 17 4 5.21 1.0 0.4 2.0

2012 27 96 113 31 42 16 4 5.30 1.0 0.3 1.7

2013 28 86 103 27 37 14 3 5.33 1.0 0.2 1.2

2014 29 78 93 24 33 13 3 5.32 1.0 0.2 1.3

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
9	0.9	4.4

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	24	131	154	45	58	21	5	5.30	1.0	0.4	1.7
2010	25	118	139	39	52	19	5	5.29	1.0	0.4	1.8
2011	26	107	125	35	47	17	4	5.21	1.0	0.4	2.0
2012	27	96	113	31	42	16	4	5.30	1.0	0.3	1.7
2013	28	86	103	27	37	14	3	5.33	1.0	0.2	1.2
2014	29	78	93	24	33	13	3	5.32	1.0	0.2	1.3

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.