Kip Wells
Age: 32
Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
6 |
82 |
89 |
9 |
43 |
60 |
4 |
49 |
45 |
4.94 |
17 |
17 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
62 |
77 |
39 |
42 |
10 |
5 |
6.53 |
| 20th |
67 |
80 |
40 |
47 |
10 |
4 |
6.04 |
| 30th |
72 |
83 |
41 |
51 |
9 |
4 |
5.63 |
| 40th |
77 |
86 |
42 |
56 |
9 |
4 |
5.26 |
| 50th |
82 |
89 |
43 |
60 |
9 |
4 |
4.94 |
| 60th |
85 |
88 |
43 |
62 |
8 |
4 |
4.55 |
| 70th |
87 |
89 |
42 |
65 |
8 |
3 |
4.45 |
| 80th |
90 |
87 |
41 |
68 |
7 |
3 |
4.00 |
| 90th |
93 |
86 |
40 |
71 |
6 |
2 |
3.58 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 7 |
0.7 |
3.5 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
32 |
82 |
90 |
43 |
56 |
9 |
4 |
5.07 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.1 |
| 2010 |
33 |
74 |
81 |
39 |
50 |
8 |
3 |
5.03 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
| 2011 |
34 |
66 |
73 |
36 |
44 |
7 |
3 |
5.14 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.5 |
| 2012 |
35 |
59 |
66 |
33 |
38 |
7 |
3 |
5.35 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
| 2013 |
36 |
53 |
60 |
30 |
34 |
6 |
2 |
5.36 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
| 2014 |
37 |
48 |
53 |
28 |
30 |
5 |
2 |
5.21 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.