Baseball Projection.com

Wes Whisler

Age: 26 Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
6 10 142 177 21 52 54 6 96 89 5.64 25 25

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 108 151 47 37 21 7 7.00
20th 117 158 48 41 21 7 6.54
30th 126 164 49 46 21 6 6.07
40th 134 170 51 50 21 6 5.84
50th 142 177 52 54 21 6 5.64
60th 146 177 51 56 20 6 5.30
70th 150 177 51 59 19 5 5.04
80th 154 176 49 62 18 5 4.68
90th 159 174 48 66 16 4 4.30

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
12 1.1 5.2

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 145 169 51 58 18 6 5.00 1.0 0.9 3.8
2010 27 131 153 45 51 16 5 4.97 1.0 0.8 4.1
2011 28 118 138 40 46 15 5 5.01 1.0 0.8 4.1
2012 29 106 125 35 41 13 4 4.99 1.0 0.7 3.9
2013 30 95 113 32 36 12 4 5.10 1.0 0.5 3.1
2014 31 85 101 30 32 11 4 5.17 1.0 0.4 2.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.