Baseball Projection.com

Craig Whitaker

Age: 24 Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 3 35 37 6 28 25 2 26 24 6.17 34 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 25 34 26 16 7 3 9.72
20th 27 35 27 18 7 3 9.00
30th 31 35 27 21 6 2 6.97
40th 33 36 28 23 6 2 6.55
50th 35 37 28 25 6 2 6.17
60th 37 36 27 26 5 2 5.11
70th 38 36 27 28 5 1 4.74
80th 40 34 26 30 4 1 4.05
90th 42 33 24 33 3 0 3.43

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 35 38 28 24 7 2 6.47 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 32 34 25 21 6 2 6.23 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 29 30 22 19 5 2 5.92 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 26 28 19 17 5 2 6.24 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 24 25 17 15 4 1 5.70 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 21 23 15 14 4 1 6.18 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.