Baseball Projection.com

Bill White

Age: 30 Team: free
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 4 62 61 8 42 58 3 38 35 5.08 59 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 46 54 39 40 9 4 7.24
20th 50 56 39 45 9 4 6.48
30th 55 57 40 49 8 3 5.56
40th 58 59 41 54 8 3 5.28
50th 62 61 42 58 8 3 5.08
60th 64 60 41 61 7 3 4.50
70th 66 60 41 63 7 2 4.23
80th 69 58 39 67 6 2 3.78
90th 72 57 38 71 5 1 3.25

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 30 62 61 42 58 8 3 5.04 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 31 56 55 39 51 7 3 5.07 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 32 50 49 35 45 6 3 5.05 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 33 45 45 32 40 6 2 5.24 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 34 40 40 30 35 5 2 5.30 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 35 36 37 27 31 5 2 5.57 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.