Baseball Projection.com

A.J. Wideman

Age: 24 Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 7 89 116 21 47 35 3 75 69 6.98 17 17

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 65 103 44 22 22 4 9.83
20th 71 106 45 25 22 4 8.87
30th 78 109 45 29 21 4 7.96
40th 83 113 46 32 21 3 7.48
50th 89 116 47 35 21 3 6.98
60th 92 115 46 37 20 3 6.55
70th 95 114 45 39 19 2 6.06
80th 99 112 43 42 17 2 5.36
90th 103 109 41 46 15 1 4.72

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 90 115 47 37 19 3 6.70 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 81 103 41 33 17 3 6.62 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 73 93 37 30 16 3 6.71 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 66 85 32 27 14 2 6.63 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 59 77 28 24 13 2 6.75 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 53 69 25 21 11 2 6.66 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.