Baseball Projection.com

Taylor Wilding

Age: 24 Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 48 51 7 23 38 2 29 27 5.06 43 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 34 47 23 25 9 3 8.21
20th 38 48 23 28 8 3 7.11
30th 41 49 23 32 8 2 6.37
40th 45 50 23 35 7 2 5.40
50th 48 51 23 38 7 2 5.06
60th 50 50 22 40 6 2 4.50
70th 51 50 22 42 6 1 4.24
80th 54 48 20 45 5 1 3.50
90th 56 45 19 48 3 1 2.73

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 48 52 23 36 8 2 5.26 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 43 47 20 33 7 2 5.26 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 39 42 18 29 6 1 5.05 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 35 39 16 26 6 1 5.35 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 31 35 14 23 5 1 5.34 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 28 32 12 21 5 1 5.48 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.