Baseball Projection.com

Matt Wilhite

Age: 27 Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 3 58 65 9 19 35 2 34 31 4.81 51 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 43 58 18 24 10 3 6.91
20th 47 60 18 27 10 2 6.13
30th 50 61 19 29 9 2 5.76
40th 54 63 19 32 9 2 5.17
50th 58 65 19 35 9 2 4.81
60th 60 64 18 37 8 2 4.50
70th 61 64 18 38 8 2 4.43
80th 63 63 17 41 7 1 3.86
90th 66 61 16 43 6 1 3.27

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 27 58 64 19 37 9 2 4.85 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 28 52 57 17 33 8 2 4.82 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 29 47 53 15 30 8 1 5.00 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 30 42 47 14 26 7 1 4.99 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 31 38 42 13 23 6 1 4.90 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 32 34 38 12 21 6 1 5.12 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.