Brian Wilson
Age: 27
Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
4 |
65 |
60 |
5 |
30 |
63 |
3 |
30 |
28 |
3.88 |
63 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
48 |
53 |
28 |
44 |
6 |
4 |
5.63 |
| 20th |
52 |
56 |
28 |
49 |
6 |
3 |
5.19 |
| 30th |
56 |
57 |
29 |
54 |
6 |
3 |
4.66 |
| 40th |
61 |
58 |
29 |
59 |
5 |
3 |
3.98 |
| 50th |
65 |
60 |
30 |
63 |
5 |
3 |
3.88 |
| 60th |
66 |
60 |
29 |
66 |
5 |
3 |
3.68 |
| 70th |
69 |
59 |
29 |
68 |
4 |
2 |
3.13 |
| 80th |
71 |
57 |
28 |
71 |
3 |
2 |
2.79 |
| 90th |
74 |
56 |
26 |
76 |
2 |
1 |
2.31 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 6 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
27 |
64 |
61 |
30 |
60 |
6 |
3 |
4.08 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
| 2010 |
28 |
58 |
55 |
27 |
54 |
5 |
2 |
3.96 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.8 |
| 2011 |
29 |
52 |
50 |
24 |
48 |
5 |
2 |
4.10 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.5 |
| 2012 |
30 |
47 |
45 |
22 |
42 |
4 |
2 |
4.03 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
| 2013 |
31 |
42 |
41 |
20 |
37 |
4 |
2 |
4.23 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
| 2014 |
32 |
37 |
37 |
18 |
33 |
3 |
2 |
4.28 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.