Jason Windsor
Age: 26
Team: OAK
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
5 |
79 |
82 |
10 |
40 |
52 |
4 |
46 |
43 |
4.9 |
15 |
15 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
58 |
74 |
38 |
34 |
12 |
5 |
7.14 |
| 20th |
63 |
76 |
38 |
39 |
11 |
5 |
6.43 |
| 30th |
68 |
78 |
39 |
43 |
11 |
4 |
5.82 |
| 40th |
74 |
80 |
39 |
48 |
10 |
4 |
5.23 |
| 50th |
79 |
82 |
40 |
52 |
10 |
4 |
4.90 |
| 60th |
81 |
81 |
39 |
55 |
9 |
4 |
4.56 |
| 70th |
84 |
80 |
38 |
58 |
8 |
3 |
4.07 |
| 80th |
87 |
78 |
37 |
61 |
7 |
2 |
3.52 |
| 90th |
91 |
75 |
35 |
65 |
5 |
2 |
2.97 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 9 |
0.9 |
4.4 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
78 |
82 |
41 |
57 |
10 |
4 |
4.99 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.1 |
| 2010 |
27 |
71 |
74 |
36 |
51 |
9 |
4 |
4.90 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
| 2011 |
28 |
64 |
67 |
32 |
45 |
8 |
3 |
4.87 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
| 2012 |
29 |
57 |
61 |
28 |
41 |
7 |
3 |
4.96 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
| 2013 |
30 |
51 |
55 |
26 |
36 |
7 |
3 |
5.18 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
| 2014 |
31 |
46 |
49 |
24 |
32 |
6 |
2 |
5.05 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
2.0 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.