Michael Wlodarczyk
Age: 26
Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
8 |
101 |
118 |
18 |
62 |
50 |
6 |
76 |
70 |
6.24 |
22 |
22 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
74 |
105 |
57 |
33 |
20 |
7 |
8.88 |
| 20th |
81 |
108 |
58 |
37 |
19 |
7 |
7.89 |
| 30th |
88 |
111 |
59 |
42 |
19 |
6 |
7.16 |
| 40th |
94 |
114 |
61 |
46 |
18 |
6 |
6.61 |
| 50th |
101 |
118 |
62 |
50 |
18 |
6 |
6.24 |
| 60th |
104 |
117 |
61 |
53 |
17 |
5 |
5.80 |
| 70th |
107 |
116 |
60 |
55 |
16 |
5 |
5.38 |
| 80th |
111 |
114 |
58 |
59 |
14 |
4 |
4.78 |
| 90th |
116 |
111 |
56 |
63 |
12 |
3 |
4.19 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
100 |
120 |
61 |
53 |
18 |
6 |
6.40 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
27 |
90 |
109 |
54 |
47 |
16 |
5 |
6.40 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
28 |
81 |
99 |
47 |
42 |
15 |
5 |
6.47 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
29 |
74 |
89 |
42 |
37 |
13 |
4 |
6.24 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
30 |
66 |
80 |
38 |
33 |
12 |
4 |
6.38 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
31 |
59 |
73 |
35 |
29 |
11 |
3 |
6.57 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.