Randy Wolf
Age: 32
Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 7 |
7 |
124 |
125 |
15 |
50 |
103 |
7 |
66 |
61 |
4.43 |
23 |
23 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
95 |
107 |
45 |
75 |
15 |
7 |
5.49 |
| 20th |
102 |
111 |
46 |
83 |
15 |
7 |
5.12 |
| 30th |
110 |
116 |
47 |
90 |
15 |
7 |
4.83 |
| 40th |
117 |
120 |
49 |
96 |
15 |
7 |
4.62 |
| 50th |
124 |
125 |
50 |
103 |
15 |
7 |
4.43 |
| 60th |
127 |
125 |
50 |
106 |
14 |
7 |
4.18 |
| 70th |
130 |
125 |
49 |
110 |
14 |
6 |
4.02 |
| 80th |
134 |
124 |
48 |
114 |
13 |
6 |
3.76 |
| 90th |
137 |
123 |
47 |
119 |
12 |
5 |
3.48 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 14 |
1.3 |
6.1 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
32 |
122 |
130 |
50 |
94 |
14 |
7 |
4.68 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
5.4 |
| 2010 |
33 |
110 |
117 |
46 |
83 |
13 |
6 |
4.71 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
5.1 |
| 2011 |
34 |
99 |
106 |
42 |
74 |
12 |
5 |
4.77 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
4.6 |
| 2012 |
35 |
88 |
96 |
38 |
65 |
11 |
5 |
4.94 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
3.3 |
| 2013 |
36 |
79 |
87 |
35 |
57 |
10 |
4 |
5.01 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
3.1 |
| 2014 |
37 |
71 |
78 |
32 |
50 |
9 |
4 |
5.04 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.