Baseball Projection.com

Eric Wordekemper

Age: 25 Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 44 50 7 23 28 2 30 28 5.73 40 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 32 45 22 18 8 3 8.44
20th 35 47 22 21 8 2 7.71
30th 38 48 22 23 8 2 6.87
40th 41 49 23 25 7 2 6.15
50th 44 50 23 28 7 2 5.73
60th 45 49 22 30 6 2 5.20
70th 46 49 22 31 6 2 4.89
80th 49 47 21 34 5 1 4.04
90th 51 45 19 36 4 1 3.35

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 25 44 49 24 30 7 2 5.55 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 26 40 44 21 27 6 1 5.30 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 27 36 39 19 24 5 1 5.16 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 28 32 36 16 21 5 1 5.42 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 29 29 33 14 19 5 1 5.56 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 30 26 29 13 17 4 1 5.38 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.