Baseball Projection.com

Kyle Yates

Age: 26 Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 7 91 107 19 39 49 4 64 59 5.84 18 18

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 67 95 37 32 20 5 8.19
20th 73 98 37 37 20 5 7.52
30th 80 101 38 41 19 4 6.64
40th 86 104 38 45 19 4 6.17
50th 91 107 39 49 19 4 5.84
60th 94 106 38 52 18 4 5.46
70th 97 105 37 54 17 3 5.10
80th 101 102 36 58 15 2 4.46
90th 105 99 34 62 13 2 3.86

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
6 0.6 3.0

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 92 106 39 52 17 4 5.60 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 83 96 34 46 16 4 5.65 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 74 87 30 41 14 3 5.68 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 67 78 27 37 13 3 5.66 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 60 70 25 33 11 3 5.66 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 54 63 23 29 10 2 5.66 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.