Baseball Projection.com

Jordan Zimmermann

Age: 23 Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 6 82 86 13 41 69 3 50 46 5.05 17 17

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 60 78 39 47 15 4 7.50
20th 66 79 39 53 14 4 6.55
30th 72 81 40 59 14 3 5.88
40th 77 84 40 64 13 3 5.38
50th 82 86 41 69 13 3 5.05
60th 85 85 40 72 12 3 4.55
70th 88 84 39 75 11 2 4.19
80th 91 82 38 79 10 2 3.76
90th 95 79 36 84 8 1 3.13

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
7 0.7 3.5

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 23 82 87 41 64 13 3 5.13 1.0 0.4 1.7
2010 24 74 78 36 59 12 3 5.10 1.0 0.4 1.8
2011 25 67 70 32 54 11 2 5.01 1.0 0.4 2.0
2012 26 60 64 28 48 10 2 5.12 1.0 0.3 1.7
2013 27 54 58 25 43 9 2 5.15 1.0 0.3 1.8
2014 28 49 52 22 38 8 2 5.04 1.0 0.3 2.0

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.