Baseball Projection.com

Zechry Zinicola

Age: 24 Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 44 48 6 27 30 2 29 27 5.52 41 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 32 43 25 20 7 3 8.16
20th 35 44 26 22 7 3 7.46
30th 39 45 26 25 6 2 6.23
40th 41 47 27 27 6 2 5.93
50th 44 48 27 30 6 2 5.52
60th 46 48 26 32 6 2 5.09
70th 47 47 26 33 5 1 4.60
80th 49 46 25 35 4 1 3.86
90th 51 44 24 37 3 1 3.35

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 44 48 27 28 6 2 5.47 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 40 43 24 25 5 2 5.28 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 36 39 21 23 5 2 5.39 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 32 35 19 20 4 2 5.40 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 29 33 16 18 4 1 5.51 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 26 30 14 16 4 1 5.68 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.