Baseball Projection.com

Charlie Zink

Age: 29 Team: BOS

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
7	8	135	151	20	57	65	7	84	78	5.2	24	24

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	102	129	51	46	20	8	6.62
20th	111	135	52	51	20	7	6.08
30th	119	140	54	56	20	7	5.75
40th	127	146	55	60	20	7	5.46
50th	135	151	57	65	20	7	5.20
60th	138	151	56	68	19	7	4.96
70th	142	151	56	70	18	6	4.69
80th	146	149	55	74	17	6	4.32
90th	150	147	53	78	15	5	3.96

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

9 0.9 4.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 29 135 149 57 71 21 7 5.18 1.0 0.6 2.5

2010 30 121 135 52 63 19 6 5.27 1.0 0.4 1.8

2011 31 109 121 48 55 17 6 5.28 1.0 0.3 1.5

2012 32 98 109 44 49 15 5 5.28 1.0 0.3 1.7

2013 33 87 99 40 43 14 5 5.52 1.0 0.0 0.4

2014 34 79 88 37 38 12 4 5.34 1.0 0.2 1.3

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
9	0.9	4.4

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	29	135	149	57	71	21	7	5.18	1.0	0.6	2.5
2010	30	121	135	52	63	19	6	5.27	1.0	0.4	1.8
2011	31	109	121	48	55	17	6	5.28	1.0	0.3	1.5
2012	32	98	109	44	49	15	5	5.28	1.0	0.3	1.7
2013	33	87	99	40	43	14	5	5.52	1.0	0.0	0.4
2014	34	79	88	37	38	12	4	5.34	1.0	0.2	1.3

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.